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AMTAmerican Tower Corporation

Industry Tower REIT Price 23 Oct 2026

If management hits its targets, one share in 12 months

$189 → $199

If management hits its targets

from IR material and Earnings Calls

What one share would be worth today and in 12, 24 and 36 months if the company does exactly what its management has promised, next to what a share costs now. Worked out from the targets management gave in its own results decks and earnings calls.

$189 → $199

Show the math

today's price over attributable AFFO (the cash earnings a tower REIT reports after interest and after its partners' share) — 17× on the July 2026 guide of $11.00-11.17 a share — held, with AFFO growing 5-8% a year from 2027, the CFO's "mid to high single-digit" long-term range. AFFO is after interest, so the value is the equity's and the debt is not subtracted again; it is divided by a share count that has barely moved. Each figure management gave as a range is taken at its middle.

0$50$100$150$200$250Today (Oct 2026): $189, the market price$189TodayOct 202612 months (Oct 2027): $199 a share if management delivers$19912 monthsOct 202724 months (Oct 2028): $212 a share if management delivers$21224 monthsOct 202836 months (Oct 2029): $226 a share if management delivers$22636 monthsOct 2029
SharesTodayIn 12 monthsOct 2027In 24 monthsOct 2028In 36 monthsOct 2029
Past pace: all sharesthe count flat, as in Feb-Jul '26: small buybacks offset by stock awards$189$199466M sh$212465M sh$226465M sh
Show the math, step by step

How we got there: company value if the plan is delivered, minus debt, divided by all the shares, including the new ones they’d have to sell to pay for it.

  1. The multiple. $189 times 466.0M shares, over $5,135-5,215M of attributable AFFO: the 2026 outlook as raised in July ($11.00-11.17 a share on 467.0M diluted shares; $10.78-10.95 in February). That is 17×, held, so none of the rise is a re-rating.
  2. The growth. Not guided year by year. On the Q2 '26 call the CFO said that as the 2026 headwinds ease in 2027 AFFO per share returns to "mid to high single-digit" growth, read here as 5-8% and carried through 2027-29. It was 5.8% in 2024 and 8.0% in 2025 on the "as adjusted" basis, and is guided at about 3% for 2026.
  3. The debt. Not subtracted, because AFFO is after interest. For the record: $37.2B of debt and $1.8B of cash at 30 Jun '26, net leverage 4.9x against a stated ceiling of 5x. Refinancing at higher rates costs about 1.5 points of 2026 AFFO per share growth, by management's own bridge.
  4. The shares. 466.1M at 17 Feb '26 and 466.0M at 21 Jul 2026, flat. Buybacks were about $0.4B in Q4 '25 and $19M in Q2 '26, with about $1.6B left on the programme. One share class, no converts or warrants.

Promises vs. what happened

15 claims · 8 decks

Every target management put in a slide deck, and whether they hit it, missed it, or quietly dropped it.

PromiseMade inWhat happened
2024 AFFO/share ~$9.95Q3 '24$9.96Held
2024 EBITDA ~$6,810MQ3 '24$6,812MHeld
Dividend growth back in 2025Q3 '24+~5%Held
2025 AFFO/share $10.40, >4%Q4 '24$10.76, +8.0%Held
2025 EBITDA $6,890MQ4 '24$7,130MHeld
2025 property revenue $9,995MQ4 '24$10,305MHeld
Data centers +12% in 2025Q4 '24~14%Held
Room for buybacksQ4 '24$365M in Q4 '25Held
Sprint churn ends in 2025Q4 '24it did; DISH churn replaced itLate
2026 AFFO/share $10.87, +1%Q4 '25raised to $11.08Open
Data centers +13% in 2026Q4 '25raised to ~15%Open
2026 organic growth ~1%Q4 '251.7% in H1Open
Tower cash margin +200-300bp by 2030Q4 '25open; flat in 2026Open
Net leverage at or below 5xQ4 '254.9x since Sep '25Open
2025 U.S. organic growth 4.3%+Q4 '244.2%, cut in JulyMissed

What they’re pitching

the headline page, deck by deck

The headline from each quarterly results deck over two years, so you can see what they want you to focus on, and when it changes.

Q3
'24
Q4
'24
Q1
'25
Q2
'25
Q3
'25
Q4
'25
Q1
'26
Q2
'26

RaisesFirst seen Q3 '24

AFFO tableOff page one Q4 '25

Data centersPage one since Q2 '26

MarginsPage one since Q4 '25

Developed marketsNew Q4 '24 · Page one since Q4 '25

Balance sheetPage one since Q4 '25

ChurnFirst seen Q3 '24

Demand, AIPage one since Q4 '25

on the headline page further in the deck not in the deck▲ onto page one▼ off page one● first mentionTap a mark for the quote.

Full-year outlook raised

Q3 '24 · further in the deck

“› Raising guidance across key financial metrics”

Deck Third Quarter 2024 Earnings Conference Call · p. 13 ·

Full-year outlook raised

Q1 '25 · further in the deck

“Raising 2025 Outlook(1)”

Deck First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call · p. 8 ·

Full-year outlook raised

Q2 '25 · further in the deck

“Raising 2025 Attributable AFFO Outlook(1)”

Deck Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call · p. 11 ·

Full-year outlook raised

Q3 '25 · further in the deck

“› Raising Attributable AFFO Outlook midpoint by $50 million vs. prior Outlook primarily due to FX tailwinds, conversion of topline growth and net interest benefits”

Deck Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call · p. 9 ·

Full-year outlook raised

Q1 '26 · further in the deck

“Raising 2026 Attributable AFFO per Share Outlook”

Deck First Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call · p. 11 ·

Full-year outlook raised

Q2 '26 · further in the deck

“› Outlook now excludes a ($0.01) headwind related to the Philippines and Bangladesh divestitures”

Deck Second Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call · p. 11 ·

AFFO per share, as adjusted, on the results table

Q3 '24 · headline page

“Per diluted share attributable to AMT, as adjusted(7) $2.52 $2.45 2.9% 6.1%”

Deck Third Quarter 2024 Earnings Conference Call · p. 4 ·

AFFO per share, as adjusted, on the results table

Q4 '24 · headline page

“Per diluted share attributable to AMT, as adjusted(7) $2.32 $2.10 10.5% 14.3% $9.96 $9.41 5.8% 8.4%”

Deck Fourth Quarter & Full Year 2024 Earnings Conference Call · p. 4 ·

AFFO per share, as adjusted, on the results table

Q1 '25 · headline page

“Per diluted share attributable to AMT, as adjusted(5) $2.75 $2.58 6.6% 10.5%”

Deck First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call · p. 4 ·

AFFO per share, as adjusted, on the results table

Q2 '25 · headline page

“Per diluted share attributable to AMT, as adjusted(7) $2.60 $2.54 2.4% 3.9%”

Deck Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call · p. 4 ·

AFFO per share, as adjusted, on the results table

Q3 '25 · headline page

“Per diluted share attributable to AMT, as adjusted(8) $2.78 $2.52 10.3% 8.7%”

Deck Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call · p. 4 ·

Data centers (CoreSite)

Q3 '24 · further in the deck

“› On track for another record year of sales at CoreSite”

Deck Third Quarter 2024 Earnings Conference Call · p. 13 ·

Data centers (CoreSite)

Q4 '24 · further in the deck

“› Global carriers continue to rapidly deploy spectrum assets and densify networks to address growing mobile data demand › CoreSite performance continues to exceed initial underwriting; record leasing volumes provide attractive growth runway”

Deck Fourth Quarter & Full Year 2024 Earnings Conference Call · p. 13 ·

Data centers (CoreSite)

Q1 '25 · further in the deck

“› Resilient domestic and international carrier network investments continue to meet growing mobile data demand › CoreSite posting another strong quarter of new leasing and high-single-digit revenue growth”

Deck First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call · p. 10 ·

Data centers (CoreSite)

Q2 '25 · further in the deck

“› CoreSite delivering another exceptional quarter of new leasing and double-digit revenue growth”

Deck Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call · p. 13 ·

Data centers (CoreSite)

Q3 '25 · further in the deck

“› Data Center revenue growth of over 14% y/y driven by strong demand and consistent price increases”

Deck Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call · p. 5 ·

Data centers (CoreSite)

Q4 '25 · headline page

“Double-digit revenue growth in data centers for the second consecutive year”

Deck Fourth Quarter & Full Year 2025 Earnings Conference Call · p. 5 ·

Data centers (CoreSite)

Q1 '26 · further in the deck

“› Complemented by ~17% Data Center cash revenue growth y/y”

Deck First Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call · p. 8 ·

Data centers (CoreSite)

Q2 '26 · headline page

“Mid-teens revenue growth in data centers driven by accelerating demand • Capture tailwinds from rapid growth in mobile data consumption, fixed wireless and AI use cases”

Deck Second Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call · p. 5 ·

Cost discipline and margin expansion

Q3 '24 · further in the deck

“› Executing cost management initiatives; SG&A ex. Bad Debt declining 2% Y/Y”

Deck Third Quarter 2024 Earnings Conference Call · p. 13 ·

Cost discipline and margin expansion

Q4 '24 · further in the deck

“› Focus on efficiency and recurring cost controls supporting outsized margin expansion”

Deck Fourth Quarter & Full Year 2024 Earnings Conference Call · p. 13 ·

Cost discipline and margin expansion

Q1 '25 · further in the deck

“Disciplined Cost Management Driving Incremental Margin Expansion 67.5% Cash Margin 68.2% Cash Margin $1,303 $1,290”

Deck First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call · p. 7 ·

Cost discipline and margin expansion

Q2 '25 · further in the deck

“High Conversion of Topline Growth Through Ongoing Direct Costs Controls; Reported AFFO Growth”

Deck Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call · p. 7 ·

Cost discipline and margin expansion

Q3 '25 · further in the deck

“Strong Revenue Growth, Margin Expansion & Double-Digit Recurring Cash Flow Growth 66.6% Cash Margin 66.8% Cash Margin 10.3% Growth 8.7% FX Neutral Growth(3)”

Deck Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call · p. 6 ·

Cost discipline and margin expansion

Q4 '25 · headline page

“Deliver 200-300 basis points of tower Adjusted EBITDA cash margin expansion by 2030”

Deck Fourth Quarter & Full Year 2025 Earnings Conference Call · p. 5 ·

Cost discipline and margin expansion

Q1 '26 · headline page

“Deliver 200-300 basis points of tower Adjusted EBITDA cash margin expansion by 2030”

Deck First Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call · p. 5 ·

Cost discipline and margin expansion

Q2 '26 · headline page

“Deliver 200-300 basis points of tower Adjusted EBITDA cash margin expansion by 2030”

Deck Second Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call · p. 5 ·

Developed markets first for capital

Q4 '24 · further in the deck

“› Continue to prioritize developed market platforms for discretionary(3) capital deployments at accretive returns”

Deck Fourth Quarter & Full Year 2024 Earnings Conference Call · p. 12 ·

Developed markets first for capital

Q1 '25 · further in the deck

“› Deployed >75% of discretionary capital expenditures to developed market platforms in the quarter”

Deck First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call · p. 10 ·

Developed markets first for capital

Q2 '25 · further in the deck

“› Deployed >75% of discretionary capital expenditures to developed market platforms in the quarter”

Deck Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call · p. 13 ·

Developed markets first for capital

Q4 '25 · headline page

“Prioritize developed markets to optimize asset portfolio and earnings quality”

Deck Fourth Quarter & Full Year 2025 Earnings Conference Call · p. 5 ·

Developed markets first for capital

Q1 '26 · headline page

“Prioritize developed markets to optimize asset portfolio and earnings quality”

Deck First Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call · p. 5 ·

Developed markets first for capital

Q2 '26 · headline page

“Prioritize developed markets to optimize asset portfolio and earnings quality”

Deck Second Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call · p. 5 ·

Balance sheet and investment grade rating

Q3 '24 · further in the deck

“› S&P credit rating upgrade to BBB; supported by balance sheet strength and enhanced earnings quality”

Deck Third Quarter 2024 Earnings Conference Call · p. 12 ·

Balance sheet and investment grade rating

Q4 '24 · further in the deck

“› Successful execution of balance sheet priorities; S&P credit rating upgrade to BBB from BBB-Strong Demand Trends, Coupled with Effective Execution of Strategic Priorities, Positions”

Deck Fourth Quarter & Full Year 2024 Earnings Conference Call · p. 13 ·

Balance sheet and investment grade rating

Q1 '25 · further in the deck

“› Successfully issued $1.0 billion in senior unsecured notes; in-line with net leverage target”

Deck First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call · p. 10 ·

Balance sheet and investment grade rating

Q2 '25 · further in the deck

“› Successfully issued €500 million in senior unsecured notes”

Deck Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call · p. 13 ·

Balance sheet and investment grade rating

Q3 '25 · further in the deck

“› Disciplined capital allocation and investment grade balance sheet support growth opportunities with high returns”

Deck Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call · p. 11 ·

Balance sheet and investment grade rating

Q4 '25 · headline page

“Strong balance sheet and financial flexibility with net leverage at or below 5x”

Deck Fourth Quarter & Full Year 2025 Earnings Conference Call · p. 5 ·

Balance sheet and investment grade rating

Q1 '26 · headline page

“Strong balance sheet and financial flexibility with net leverage at or below 5x”

Deck First Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call · p. 5 ·

Balance sheet and investment grade rating

Q2 '26 · headline page

“Strong balance sheet and financial flexibility with net leverage at or below 5x”

Deck Second Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call · p. 5 ·

Carrier churn (Sprint, then DISH)

Q3 '24 · further in the deck

“Impact of Sprint Churn(4)”

Deck Third Quarter 2024 Earnings Conference Call · p. 6 ·

Carrier churn (Sprint, then DISH)

Q4 '24 · further in the deck

“› On-going 5G coverage and 4G densification supporting solid, consistent global new leasing demand › Final year of Sprint churn headwinds; multi-year carrier consolidation impacting Latin America growth”

Deck Fourth Quarter & Full Year 2024 Earnings Conference Call · p. 8 ·

Carrier churn (Sprint, then DISH)

Q1 '25 · further in the deck

“Impact of Sprint Churn(4) › Solid global demand driving mid-single-digit Tenant Billings Growth; high-single-digit CoreSite revenue growth year over year”

Deck First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call · p. 6 ·

Carrier churn (Sprint, then DISH)

Q2 '25 · further in the deck

“› Raising International, Africa & APAC and LatAm Organic Tenant Billings Growth, while revising expectations in the U.S. due to slower than initially anticipated commencements related to one customer”

Deck Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call · p. 9 ·

Carrier churn (Sprint, then DISH)

Q3 '25 · further in the deck

“Impact of Sprint Churn(4) › Consolidated OTBG of 5% y/y driven by healthy carrier activity levels”

Deck Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call · p. 5 ·

Carrier churn (Sprint, then DISH)

Q4 '25 · further in the deck

“› Consolidated OTBG of ~4% y/y, excluding DISH churn, driven by robust leasing demand › 100% of DISH revenue reflected in U.S. & Canada churn expectations; multi-year carrier consolidation impacting LatAm”

Deck Fourth Quarter & Full Year 2025 Earnings Conference Call · p. 8 ·

Carrier churn (Sprint, then DISH)

Q1 '26 · further in the deck

“› Outlook includes (~4%) headwind from DISH-related churn, (~2%) headwind from cash taxes and net interest, and (~1%)”

Deck First Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call · p. 11 ·

Carrier churn (Sprint, then DISH)

Q2 '26 · further in the deck

“› Outlook includes (~4%) headwind from DISH-related churn, (~3%)”

Deck Second Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call · p. 11 ·

Mobile data demand, 5G and AI

Q3 '24 · further in the deck

“› Perspective on long-term 5G investment cycle reinforced through activity and constructive customer dialogue”

Deck Third Quarter 2024 Earnings Conference Call · p. 13 ·

Mobile data demand, 5G and AI

Q4 '24 · further in the deck

“› Global carriers continue to rapidly deploy spectrum assets and densify networks to address growing mobile data demand › CoreSite performance continues to exceed initial underwriting; record leasing volumes provide attractive growth runway”

Deck Fourth Quarter & Full Year 2024 Earnings Conference Call · p. 13 ·

Mobile data demand, 5G and AI

Q1 '25 · further in the deck

“› Resilient domestic and international carrier network investments continue to meet growing mobile data demand › CoreSite posting another strong quarter of new leasing and high-single-digit revenue growth”

Deck First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call · p. 10 ·

Mobile data demand, 5G and AI

Q3 '25 · further in the deck

“› Hybrid cloud and AI-related demand tailwinds fueling strong activity for interconnection-rich data center assets”

Deck Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call · p. 11 ·

Mobile data demand, 5G and AI

Q4 '25 · headline page

“Capture tailwinds from rapid growth in mobile data consumption, fixed wireless and AI use cases”

Deck Fourth Quarter & Full Year 2025 Earnings Conference Call · p. 5 ·

Mobile data demand, 5G and AI

Q1 '26 · headline page

“Invest in AI to further accelerate margin upside”

Deck First Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call · p. 5 ·

Mobile data demand, 5G and AI

Q2 '26 · headline page

“Mid-teens revenue growth in data centers driven by accelerating demand • Capture tailwinds from rapid growth in mobile data consumption, fixed wireless and AI use cases”

Deck Second Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call · p. 5 ·

What they keep talking about · 10

The themes that show up deck after deck, and the ones that disappear.

Raises
Every in-year deck raised the outlook; from Q1 '25 FX tailwinds are named in each raise, and Q2 '26 adds higher interest costs against it.
AFFO table
The as-adjusted results table opened every deck to Q3 '25; from Q4 '25 three summary charts, and the India adjustment drops out in 2026.
Data centers
In all eight. CoreSite by name to Q2 '25, 'Data Centers' after; a dollar chart from Q1 '26 ($289M, then $297M a quarter) as the growth guide went 12% to 15%.
Margins
Cost control in every deck; from Q4 '25 a dated target, 200-300bp of tower cash margin by 2030, while 2026 holds margins flat.
Developed markets
From Q4 '24, after the India sale: over 75% of discretionary capex in developed markets; Europe up to 25% of it in 2026; the Philippines and Bangladesh sold in Q2 '26.
Balance sheet
The BBB upgrade in Q3 '24 and Q4 '24, bond issues in 2025, then 'at or below 5x' from Q4 '25; leverage 4.9x since Sep '25.
Churn
Sprint churn broken out to Q3 '25 and called final in 2025; DISH churn replaces it from Q4 '25, about 4 points off 2026 AFFO per share growth.
Demand, AI
Mobile data and 5G densification throughout; AI enters in Q3 '25 as data-center demand and from Q1 '26 as a cost lever.
New
Q4 '25: the CEO's strategic-priorities slide, the tower-only cash margin (72.1% in 2025), a 2030 target and growth quoted 'ex DISH'.
Quiet
From Q4 '25: the consolidated results table and the AFFO dollar total on the bridge slide. From Q3 '25 growth is 'cash FX-neutral', which also strips straight-line revenue.
Every quarterly report we’ve saved · 8

The press releases and shareholder letters behind this page.

Archived as text; the links open the copies filed on EDGAR or the investor-relations site.

What analysts asked them

7 calls · Q4 24 – Q2 26

The last eight earnings calls: what analysts kept asking about, which questions got dodged, and how much the CEO did the talking.

Share of questions by topic, call by call. A topic that suddenly dominates is usually the problem. The last row is how much of the answering the CEO did, rather than the CFO or others.

Share of questions about…Q4 24Q1 25Q2 25Q3 25Q4 25Q1 26Q2 26
Demand & customers16%18%41%53%18%18%24%
Growth & sales16%29%12%42%35%24%24%
Pricing & margins11%14%·16%24%··
Guidance & outlook16%18%18%16%29%6%29%
Capacity & supply21%4%18%16%18%18%24%
Capital & financing16%7%18%21%24%18%18%
Competition·4%·5%·18%6%
Products & technology5%·6%26%··6%
Macro & regulation·7%·····
Other47%57%35%11%18%47%47%
Questions19281719171717

Who’s in charge, who’s selling

read from the filings · 20 Oct 2026

Shareholder votes against the board and pay, plus which executives have been selling their own shares.

  1. Tier 2 · slowly worsening

    A 29-year auditor that flags nothing, and a rising vote against it

    Deloitte since 1997; clean opinions on the 2025 accounts and controls with no critical audit matter, in a year with contested DISH and AT&T Mexico receivables. Votes against 6.3% in 2025, 7.5% in 2026, the largest on either ballot. A new chief accounting officer from outside since Apr '26.

  2. Tier 3 · slowly worsening

    A 24-year chair, and more dissent against her and the nominating chair

    Reeve on the board since 2002, chair since May '20, no term limits. Against her 3.8% to 5.1%; against Frank (nominating chair) 1.2% to 4.9%. A proxy supplement in Apr '26 corrected the attendance disclosure.

  3. Tier 3 · improving

    Long-term pay above target while shareholders lost money

    The 2023 performance shares paid 157% on AFFO per share and ROIC, metrics the company sets; $100 in AMT at end-2020 was $90.61 at end-2025 against $126.71 for the proxy's peers. CEO pay $14.85M for 2025.

  4. Tier 3 · stable

    $23.2M of insider sales, mostly expiring options under plans

    The COO, CFO and CEO exercised 2016 options at $94.71 and sold in Feb-Mar '26 under plans disclosed in advance; the retiring accounting chief sold $1.7M outside a plan. Two directors bought $2.0M; no director sold.

Accounting rule changes 3 in 6 quarters

  1. Q3 '24India (ATC TIPL) moved to discontinued operations; results and outlook shown ex India
  2. Q3 '25Growth quoted as 'cash FX-neutral', excluding straight-line revenue as well as FX
  3. Q4 '25Organic tenant billings growth shown excluding DISH churn, with DISH broken out

Where shareholders voted no

At each annual meeting shareholders vote on who sits on the board, what the executives are paid and whether the company may create more shares. These are the votes that drew the most "no"s at the last two meetings: the shares voted against (or withheld) each year, then what share of all votes cast that was. Under each one, what the vote was about and what a no means.

20252026Share 2026
Reeve (chair)A board seat. Shareholders vote to keep this person on the board, the group that hires, pays and can fire the CEO. A no, or a withheld vote, says they want this director out, often because of the committee they sit on or a decision they signed off.15.2M20.5M5.1%
Frank (nominating chair)A board seat.4.7M19.8M4.9%
Say on payExecutive pay. Shareholders say whether they accept what the top executives were paid. The vote is advisory: the board can ignore it, but a large no is a public rebuke and boards usually change the pay plan after one.22.2M24.2M6.0%
Ratify DeloitteThe auditor. Keeping the outside accounting firm that checks the company's books. This almost always passes; a sizeable no means shareholders doubt the audit or think the firm has been in place too long.26.6M31.8M7.5%

Insiders who sold the most stock

Reported sales by executives and directors, biggest first.

Form 4s, Oct '25-Oct '26SoldNote
Noel, COO$7.9M41K shares on 2 Mar, under a plan
Smith, CFO$6.6M34K shares on 17 Feb, under a plan
Vondran, CEO$6.3M33K shares on 4 Mar, under a plan
Meyer, former chief accounting officer$1.7Mtwo sales, no plan
Dowling, general counsel$0.7Msix small lots, under a plan