The Ledger

ZSZscaler, Inc.

Industry Cyber software Updated 25 Sep 2026 Price 23 Oct 2026

If management hits its targets, one share by the end of 2028

$255 → $278

If management hits its targets

from IR material and Earnings Calls

What one share would be worth today and in 12, 24 and 36 months if the company does exactly what its management has promised, next to what a share costs now. Worked out from the targets management gave in its own results decks and earnings calls.

$255 → $255

One guided year on: +4% a year. 2027 is the year management has guided, and it is still running 12 months from the price date, so the 12-month bar, $255, stays at or near today's price: the model counts no growth until a guided year is over and only the share count moves. Carried one year past it on management's own figures, the same ones the 24- and 36-month bars use, a share works out to $278 at the end of 2028, 26 months from the price date. Climbing there at an even pace from today's $255 is +4% a year, $265 in 12 months, and that is the figure the Companies page lists.

Show the math

company value if delivered, less net debt, divided by the share count growing at its past pace. Each figure management gave as a range is taken at its middle. Up to the end of 2027, the year management has guided, the company's value is today's and only the share count moves, so the figure is held at today's price rather than shown falling with the dilution.

0$100$200$300$400Today (Oct 2026): $255, the market price$255TodayOct 202612 months (Oct 2027): $255 a share if management delivers; held at the earlier level, see the note$25512 monthsOct 202724 months (Oct 2028): $274 a share if management delivers$27424 monthsOct 202836 months (Oct 2029): $308 a share if management delivers$30836 monthsOct 2029
SharesTodayIn 12 monthsOct 2027In 24 monthsOct 2028In 36 monthsOct 2029
Past pace: all sharesshares +2.8% a year as in the half to Aug '26; the $1.70B of converts are not in this line$255$255168M sh · held$274173M sh$308178M sh

Promises vs. what happened

15 claims · 8 letters

Every target management put in a slide deck, and whether they hit it, missed it, or quietly dropped it.

PromiseMade inWhat happened
FY25 revenue, profit and cash flowQ1 '25beat all threeHeld
Triple ZTE customers in 18 monthsQ2 '25three quarters early; 950+ by Q4 '26Held
Q1 '26 revenue $772-774MQ4 '25$788MHeld
FY26 revenue $3.27-3.28BQ4 '25$3.4B, 25% growthHeld
FY26 ARR $3.68-3.70BQ4 '25$3.8BHeld
AI-Security ARR to well over $400MQ4 '25hit three quarters earlyHeld
Red Canary adds $95M ARR, $90M revenueQ4 '25$144M of revenue; ARR line retired for FY27Held
Z-Flex grows meaningfully in FY26Q4 '25$1.7B of TCV bookedHeld
40% of H2 net new ARR in Q3Q2 '26$166M, up 24%Held
Q4 '26 revenue $875-878MQ3 '26$898MHeld
AI-Security ARR over $500M by end '26Q1 '26never reported again; bookings given insteadDropped
FY27 growth 16-17%Q3 '26guided $3.91-3.94B; openOpen
FY26 free cash flow margin 26.0-26.5%Q4 '25cut to 23%, then 22.8-23.3%Missed
FY26 capex mid-single-digit % of revenueQ2 '26raised to high single digitsMissed
FY27 capex up to +200bps of revenueQ3 '26now low teens, and the cash-flow margin with itMissed

What they’re pitching

the headline page, letter by letter

The headline from each quarterly results deck over two years, so you can see what they want you to focus on, and when it changes.

Q1
'25
Q2
'25
Q3
'25
Q4
'25
Q1
'26
Q2
'26
Q3
'26
Q4
'26

GuidanceOff page one Q3 '26

ARRNew Q2 '25 · Page one since Q1 '26

Rule of 40First seen Q1 '25

AI storyOff page one Q4 '26

ZT customersOff page one Q2 '26

Z-FlexNew Q3 '25 · Page one since Q1 '26

Red CanaryNew Q3 '25 · Page one since Q4 '26

AI threatFirst seen Q3 '26

Data securityOff page one Q1 '26

on the headline page further in the letter not in the letter▲ onto page one▼ off page one● first mentionTap a mark for the quote.

Results against guidance

Q1 '25 · headline page

“Outstanding Q1’25 results for growth and profitability”

Deck Q1'25 Earnings Call Presentation · p. 5 (OCR) ·

Results against guidance

Q2 '25 · headline page

“Q2 exceeds guidance on all metrics”

Deck Q2'25 Earnings Call Presentation · p. 3 (OCR) ·

Results against guidance

Q3 '25 · headline page

“Q3’25 results exceeded guidance on all metrics”

Deck Q3'25 Earnings Call Presentation · p. 3 ·

Results against guidance

Q4 '25 · headline page

“Fiscal Year 2025 results exceeded guidance on all metrics”

Deck Q4'25 Earnings Call Presentation · p. 4 ·

Results against guidance

Q1 '26 · headline page

“Strong start to FY26”

Deck Q1'26 Earnings Call Presentation · p. 3 ·

Results against guidance

Q2 '26 · headline page

“Strong Q2 results with revenue and operating income above guidance1 1. See the Financial Appendix of this shareholder letter for definitions of non -GAAP financial measures and reconciliation.”

Deck Q2'26 Shareholder Letter · p. 3 ·

Results against guidance

Q3 '26 · further in the letter

“We delivered strong Q3 26 results, growing revenue 25% while investing with discipline. Year-to-date, with 26% revenue growth and a 29% free cash flow margin, we achieved Rule of 55 performance.”

Deck Q3'26 Shareholder Letter · p. 14 ·

Results against guidance

Q4 '26 · further in the letter

“We delivered strong Q4 results, with revenue and ARR both growing 25% year-over-year, net new ARR growing 24%, and non-GAAP operating margin reaching a record 24.3%.”

Deck Q4'26 Shareholder Letter · p. 15 ·

ARR as the headline number

Q2 '25 · further in the letter

“ARR growth +23% Y/Y J \ NU ACV Y/Y”

Deck Q2'25 Earnings Call Presentation · p. 4 (OCR) ·

ARR as the headline number

Q3 '25 · headline page

“ARR growth +23% Y/Y”

Deck Q3'25 Earnings Call Presentation · p. 4 ·

ARR as the headline number

Q4 '25 · further in the letter

“ARR as key business metric”

Deck Q4'25 Earnings Call Presentation · p. 20 ·

ARR as the headline number

Q1 '26 · headline page

“ARR growth of ~26% Y/Y”

Deck Q1'26 Earnings Call Presentation · p. 4 ·

ARR as the headline number

Q2 '26 · headline page

“ARR growth of 25% Y/Y”

Deck Q2'26 Shareholder Letter · p. 3 ·

ARR as the headline number

Q3 '26 · headline page

“ARR growth of 25% Y/Y”

Deck Q3'26 Shareholder Letter · p. 3 ·

ARR as the headline number

Q4 '26 · headline page

“ARR growth of 25% Y/Y”

Deck Q4'26 Shareholder Letter · p. 3 ·

Rule of 40

Q1 '25 · further in the letter

“Above Rule-of-70 in Q1’25 a”

Deck Q1'25 Earnings Call Presentation · p. 14 (OCR) ·

Rule of 40

Q2 '25 · further in the letter

“Revenue growth % FCF Margin % Rule of 40”

Deck Q2'25 Earnings Call Presentation · p. 5 ·

Rule of 40

Q3 '25 · further in the letter

“Operating at rule of 52% for Year-to-date FY25”

Deck Q3'25 Earnings Call Presentation · p. 5 ·

Rule of 40

Q4 '25 · further in the letter

“Operating at Rule-of-50 for FY25”

Deck Q4'25 Earnings Call Presentation · p. 6 ·

Rule of 40

Q1 '26 · further in the letter

“Operating at Rule-of-78 for Q1’26”

Deck Q1'26 Earnings Call Presentation · p. 5 ·

Rule of 40

Q2 '26 · further in the letter

“With 26% revenue growth and a 36% free cash flow margin, we achieved Rule of 62 performance in the first half of the year, placing us among the elite companies that consistently outperform the Rule of 40.”

Deck Q2'26 Shareholder Letter · p. 18 ·

Rule of 40

Q3 '26 · further in the letter

“We delivered strong Q3 26 results, growing revenue 25% while investing with discipline. Year-to-date, with 26% revenue growth and a 29% free cash flow margin, we achieved Rule of 55 performance.”

Deck Q3'26 Shareholder Letter · p. 14 ·

Rule of 40

Q4 '26 · further in the letter

“For full year fiscal 2026, revenue also grew 25%, and when combined with 23% free cash flow margin, our performance exceeded the Rule of 40, landing at approximately 49%.”

Deck Q4'26 Shareholder Letter · p. 15 ·

Security for the AI era

Q1 '25 · further in the letter

“Securing use of AI-apps”

Deck Q1'25 Earnings Call Presentation · p. 6 ·

Security for the AI era

Q2 '25 · further in the letter

“Security for AI”

Deck Q2'25 Earnings Call Presentation · p. 11 ·

Security for the AI era

Q3 '25 · further in the letter

“Accelerating our vision of AI-powered SoC”

Deck Q3'25 Earnings Call Presentation · p. 16 ·

Security for the AI era

Q4 '25 · further in the letter

“AI-Security solutions, including “Security of AI Apps” and “Agentic Operations”, surpassed $250M ARR and expected to grow to well over $400M in FY263”

Deck Q4'25 Earnings Call Presentation · p. 22 ·

Security for the AI era

Q1 '26 · headline page

“On track for $500M+ ARR by FY26”

Deck Q1'26 Earnings Call Presentation · p. 4 ·

Security for the AI era

Q2 '26 · further in the letter

“Zscaler is the security platform for the AI era”

Deck Q2'26 Shareholder Letter · p. 4 ·

Security for the AI era

Q3 '26 · headline page

“AI is changing the nature of cybersecurity in real time, and Zscaler is the cybersecurity platform for the AI era. This is evident in our results and the reason we are so confident in our long-term potential.”

Deck Q3'26 Shareholder Letter · p. 3 ·

Security for the AI era

Q4 '26 · further in the letter

“These results reflect increasing market adoption of our Zero Trust platform. AI is quickly becoming the largest tailwind we have ever seen, driving demand for our”

Deck Q4'26 Shareholder Letter · p. 4 ·

Zero Trust Everywhere enterprises

Q2 '25 · further in the letter

“¢* Ambitious goal to triple the number of “Zero Trust Everywhere” enterprise from 130+ in next 18 months”

Deck Q2'25 Earnings Call Presentation · p. 17 (OCR) ·

Zero Trust Everywhere enterprises

Q3 '25 · further in the letter

“Goal: 390+ “Zero Trust Everywhere”1 enterprises2 by FY26”

Deck Q3'25 Earnings Call Presentation · p. 12 ·

Zero Trust Everywhere enterprises

Q4 '25 · further in the letter

“Zero Trust Everywhere surpassed 350 enterprises, outpacing our expectations.”

Deck Q4'25 Earnings Call Presentation · p. 22 ·

Zero Trust Everywhere enterprises

Q1 '26 · headline page

“Zero Trust Everywhere enterprises 3-quarters ahead of schedule”

Deck Q1'26 Earnings Call Presentation · p. 4 ·

Zero Trust Everywhere enterprises

Q2 '26 · further in the letter

“The number of Zero Trust Everywhere enterprises1 has grown at a rapid pace and now sits at over 550, up from over 130 a year ago.”

Deck Q2'26 Shareholder Letter · p. 12 ·

Zero Trust Everywhere enterprises

Q3 '26 · further in the letter

“Trust Cloud. We exited Q3 with more than 700 Zero Trust Everywhere enterprises versus over 550 in Q2.”

Deck Q3'26 Shareholder Letter · p. 12 ·

Zero Trust Everywhere enterprises

Q4 '26 · further in the letter

“We exited Q4 with more than 950 Zero Trust Everywhere enterprises versus over 700 in Q3 and over 350 at the end of fiscal 2025.”

Deck Q4'26 Shareholder Letter · p. 13 ·

Z-Flex bookings

Q3 '25 · further in the letter

“Z-Flex: Customer benefits”

Deck Q3'25 Earnings Call Presentation · p. 8 ·

Z-Flex bookings

Q4 '25 · further in the letter

“Z-Flex traction is growing”

Deck Q4'25 Earnings Call Presentation · p. 16 ·

Z-Flex bookings

Q1 '26 · headline page

“+70% Q/Q in Flex bookings”

Deck Q1'26 Earnings Call Presentation · p. 4 ·

Z-Flex bookings

Q2 '26 · headline page

“+65% Q/Q in Z-Flex Bookings”

Deck Q2'26 Shareholder Letter · p. 3 ·

Z-Flex bookings

Q3 '26 · headline page

“RPO grew ~30% Y/Y +60% Q/Q in Z-Flex Bookings”

Deck Q3'26 Shareholder Letter · p. 3 ·

Z-Flex bookings

Q4 '26 · headline page

“RPO grew 27% Y/Y +60% Q/Q in Z-Flex Bookings”

Deck Q4'26 Shareholder Letter · p. 3 ·

Red Canary and organic net new ARR

Q3 '25 · further in the letter

“Scaling Zscaler’s Platform Vision with Red Canary”

Deck Q3'25 Earnings Call Presentation · p. 16 ·

Red Canary and organic net new ARR

Q4 '25 · further in the letter

“$95M ARR contribution from Red”

Deck Q4'25 Earnings Call Presentation · p. 21 ·

Red Canary and organic net new ARR

Q2 '26 · further in the letter

“ARR growth last year. Red Canary exited Q2 with $114 million of ARR.”

Deck Q2'26 Shareholder Letter · p. 19 ·

Red Canary and organic net new ARR

Q3 '26 · further in the letter

“ARR was $153 million, up 14% year-over-year, and total ARR was also up 21%. Red Canary exited Q3 with $127 million of ARR.”

Deck Q3'26 Shareholder Letter · p. 15 ·

Red Canary and organic net new ARR

Q4 '26 · headline page

“We delivered a strong finish to the fiscal year, with 25% ARR growth and a non-GAAP operating margin of 24%. We are seeing significant positive trends in net new ARR with growth excluding Red Canary accelerating to 17% in Q4.”

Deck Q4'26 Shareholder Letter · p. 3 ·

Frontier AI models as a threat

Q3 '26 · further in the letter

“Making it even more challenging, new powerful frontier AI models like Mythos are finding security vulnerabilities in software at machine speed, significantly diminishing the effort, skill, and time needed to breach enterprises.”

Deck Q3'26 Shareholder Letter · p. 5 ·

Frontier AI models as a threat

Q4 '26 · further in the letter

“The time between vulnerabilities being discovered and exploited, is also shrinking. You cannot win a patching race against AI. This is leaving organizations exposed, and likely leads to more breaches.”

Deck Q4'26 Shareholder Letter · p. 4 ·

Data Security Everywhere

Q3 '25 · further in the letter

“Most comprehensive Data Security Everywhere platform”

Deck Q3'25 Earnings Call Presentation · p. 14 ·

Data Security Everywhere

Q4 '25 · headline page

“Data Security Everywhere ARR”

Deck Q4'25 Earnings Call Presentation · p. 5 ·

Data Security Everywhere

Q1 '26 · further in the letter

“Data Security Everywhere achieved ARR of ~$450M, driven by consolidation on our unified platform4”

Deck Q1'26 Earnings Call Presentation · p. 23 ·

Data Security Everywhere

Q2 '26 · further in the letter

“Our third growth pillar is Data Security Everywhere which has eight modules, providing data discovery, data classification, posture management, and data loss prevention.”

Deck Q2'26 Shareholder Letter · p. 15 ·

Data Security Everywhere

Q3 '26 · further in the letter

“Data Security ARR crossed $500 million”

Deck Q3'26 Shareholder Letter · p. 9 ·

Data Security Everywhere

Q4 '26 · further in the letter

“Securing data and AI go hand-in-hand as evidenced by the fact that 70% of our Security for AI deals this quarter included our Data Security solution.”

Deck Q4'26 Shareholder Letter · p. 9 ·

What they keep talking about · 11

The themes that show up deck after deck, and the ones that disappear.

Guidance
The opening slide of all eight: results exceeded guidance. True every quarter on revenue, and not true on the cash-flow margin.
ARR
On the key-metrics slide from Q2 '25, redefined in Q4 '25 and guided from then on in place of calculated billings.
Rule of 40
A slide of its own in every deck, one CFO sentence in the letters: about 73, then 78, then 62, 55 and about 49 as the free cash flow margin fell.
AI story
In all eight, renamed three times — AI-Security, then AI Protect, then Security for AI. The ARR figure behind it is given twice, then stops.
ZT customers
A goal set at 130+ in Q2 '25 and reported every quarter since: 350, 550, 700, then 950+ by Q4 '26. The one target beaten early and kept.
Z-Flex
Introduced Q3 '25, on the headline slide from Q1 '26, and always as booked contract value rather than ARR: $65M to $770M+.
Red Canary
ARR given for Q2 to Q4 '26 only — $114M, $127M, then $144M of revenue — and the Q3 '26 letter says it will not be reported in FY27.
AI threat
New in Q3 '26 and the CEO's opening argument in both Q3 and Q4: frontier models find vulnerabilities at machine speed, so patching cannot keep up.
Data security
ARR given in Q4 '25 (~$425M), Q1 '26 (~$450M) and Q3 '26 ($500M+), then replaced in Q4 '26 by the share of AI deals that attach it (70%).
New
Q4 '26: the first FY27 guidance, and capex in the low teens as a percent of revenue — the highest the company has guided.
Quiet
Calculated billings, AI-Security ARR and Data Security ARR all stopped. Each was a headline number in the quarter before it went.
Every quarterly report we’ve saved · 8

The press releases and shareholder letters behind this page.

Archived as text; the links open the copies filed on EDGAR or the investor-relations site.

What analysts asked them

8 calls · Q1 25 – Q4 26

The last eight earnings calls: what analysts kept asking about, which questions got dodged, and how much the CEO did the talking.

Share of questions by topic, call by call. A topic that suddenly dominates is usually the problem. The last row is how much of the answering the CEO did, rather than the CFO or others.

Share of questions about…Q1 25Q2 25Q3 25Q4 25Q1 26Q2 26Q3 26Q4 26
Demand & customers35%43%42%31%28%69%36%62%
Growth & sales35%30%58%38%28%38%86%69%
Pricing & margins··8%·7%·14%·
Guidance & outlook19%13%25%44%24%62%57%38%
Capacity & supply4%···3%·7%·
Capital & financing····7%15%14%15%
Competition8%10%17%·7%8%14%8%
Products & technology15%27%83%31%24%31%36%69%
Macro & regulation·7%17%6%····
Other50%43%·25%41%·7%8%
Questions2630121629131413
How much the CEO talked80%81%78%84%80%60%62%55%

Who’s in charge, who’s selling

read from the filings · 1 Oct 2026

Shareholder votes against the board and pay, plus which executives have been selling their own shares.

  1. Tier 2 · live

    Owners voted to declassify the board; the board has not said it will

    The three classes mean a majority of the board cannot be replaced in any one year. At the 2026-01-12 meeting a shareholder proposal to declassify passed, 67.0M for against 63.2M. It is advisory, and nothing filed since says the board has acted. The next proxy, about November 2026, is where that becomes visible.

  2. Tier 2 · stable

    About 35% in the founder's family, with no second class of stock

    Chaudhry holds 16.8%, almost all through trusts; Ajay Mangal holds 18.2% as trustee of four trusts the proxy says benefit Chaudhry's family. Against that, Vanguard has 7.1%. He has been chief executive and chairman since 2007. One class, one vote — the control is the size of the holding, not a structure.

  3. Tier 2 · worsening

    Four of the people who run or report the business changed in eighteen months

    The chief financial officer left in June 2025 after eight years; the chief technology officer seat has been empty since mid-2025 with no successor named; Raj Judge resigned as strategy chief and director in April 2026, eleven months in, with no reason given; and Mike Rich hands over the revenue job today for "personal reasons" after two years and eleven months.

  4. Tier 2 · stable

    Pay in stock runs at about the whole of free cash flow

    Share-based compensation was $822M in FY26, about 24.5% of revenue and 105.5% of free cash flow, with the share count up 3.3% a year over five years and 2.8% annualised in the latest half. The $1.7bn of converts sit outside that, struck at $439.52.

  5. Tier 3 · worsening

    Six measures were reported, then dropped

    Calculated billings, AI-Security ARR, Data Security Everywhere ARR and emerging-products ARR growth among them; persistence across the eight documents is 0.625. Red Canary's ARR was given for three quarters and the Q3 '26 letter says it stops in FY27.

Where shareholders voted no

At each annual meeting shareholders vote on who sits on the board, what the executives are paid and whether the company may create more shares. These are the votes that drew the most "no"s at the last two meetings: the shares voted against (or withheld) each year, then what share of all votes cast that was. Under each one, what the vote was about and what a no means.

20252026Share 2026
Brown (Class II)A board seat. Shareholders vote to keep this person on the board, the group that hires, pays and can fire the CEO. A no, or a withheld vote, says they want this director out, often because of the committee they sit on or a decision they signed off.—13.2M withheld10.1%
Darling (Class II)A board seat.—35.7M withheld27.3%
Schneider (Class II)A board seat.—23.8M withheld18.2%
Say on payExecutive pay. Shareholders say whether they accept what the top executives were paid. The vote is advisory: the board can ignore it, but a large no is a public rebuke and boards usually change the pay plan after one.—8.8M against6.8%
Declassify the board — passedElect the whole board every year. Where only a third of the directors stand each year, it takes three years to replace the board. Annual elections make every seat answerable to shareholders every year, so shareholders gain power; a no keeps the board harder to remove.—63.2M against48.5%

Insiders who sold the most stock

Reported sales by executives and directors, biggest first.

SEC insider data sets, Jul '25-Jun '26SoldNote
All insiders$26.0M45 sales by 8 people, and not one purchase
Of that, pre-plannedabout half49.5% under pre-set 10b5-1 plans
The foundernot a material sellerhis 16.8% is intact; the family trusts' last Form 4 was Jun '25