The Ledger

UBERUber Technologies, Inc.

Industry Platform internet Price 23 Oct 2026

If management hits its targets, one share in 12 months

$66.70 → $86.35

What the podcasts say

3 bullish · 0 bearish · 2 speakers · 3 shows

What investors said about this company on the podcasts we transcribe, newest first. Bullish means the speaker expects the stock to do well, bearish means they expect it to do badly.

  1. Bullish
    Vinokur: Uber's network effect, buybacks and innovation make it a pickMike Vinokur · In the Money with Amber Kanwar · 6 Oct 2026
  2. Bullish
  3. Bullish

All 3 statements on the Podcast Heatmap

If management hits its targets

from IR material and Earnings Calls

What one share would be worth today and in 12, 24 and 36 months if the company does exactly what its management has promised, next to what a share costs now. Worked out from the targets management gave in its own results decks and earnings calls.

$67 → $86

Show the math

company value if delivered, less net debt, divided by the shares. Uber has put numbers on two things: 2026, the last year of the three-year outlook it issued in February 2024 (Adjusted EBITDA compounding at a high-30s to 40% rate from 2023, which puts 2026 at $10.4-11.1B), and the next quarter (Adjusted EBITDA of $2.86-2.96B for Q3 '26, 27-31% above a year earlier). Today's multiple of that 2026 figure is held, the quarter's growth rate is carried through 2029, and the share count keeps falling at the pace of the last half. Each figure management gave as a range is taken at its middle.

0$50$100$150$200Today (Oct 2026): $67, the market price$67TodayOct 202612 months (Oct 2027): $86 a share if management delivers$8612 monthsOct 202724 months (Oct 2028): $116 a share if management delivers$11624 monthsOct 202836 months (Oct 2029): $154 a share if management delivers$15436 monthsOct 2029
SharesTodayIn 12 monthsOct 2027In 24 monthsOct 2028In 36 monthsOct 2029
Past pace: all sharesthe count falls about 3% a year, as in H1 '26: 46.6M shares bought back against 17.0M RSUs settled$67$861971M sh$1161918M sh$1541867M sh
Show the math, step by step

How we got there: company value if the plan is delivered, minus debt, divided by all the shares, including the new ones they’d have to sell to pay for it.

  1. Earnings. Adjusted EBITDA, the line the three-year outlook, the quarterly guide and the buyback promise are written in. 2026 from the outlook's own rate on the 2023 base; the Q3 '26 guide's 27-31% growth over Q3 '25 compounded through 2029. No later rate is given anywhere read.
  2. Today's multiple. 13× on 2026 Adjusted EBITDA, enterprise value over the guided year, held. The 2026 figure sets the multiple and cancels out of the later years.
  3. Shares. 2042.6M at the 10-Q cover date (31 Jul '26), falling at the pace of the last half. One class, one vote; the 2028 converts sit above the price and pay principal in cash, so no convert shares are added.
  4. Arithmetic. (company value − net debt) ÷ shares. Net debt $7.3B: $12.7B of notes against $5.4B of cash and short-term investments, before the EUR 4.5B of euro notes sold in September and before anything borrowed for Delivery Hero. The $8.8B of equity stakes and the $3.5B Delivery Hero stake are left out.

Promises vs. what happened

12 claims · 8 decks

Every target management put in a slide deck, and whether they hit it, missed it, or quietly dropped it.

Quarter by quarter: every guide hit. The year-by-year promises are the ones that went quiet: the three-year scorecard was shown once, and the AV city count was re-based.

PromiseMade inWhat happened
GB +17-21% cc, Q1 '25Q4 '24 call+18%; EBITDA +35%Held
Q4 '25 "rinse and repeat"Q3 '25 call$54.1B, above the rangeHeld
Half of FCF to buybacksQ2 '25 call67% in '25, 69% in H1 '26Held
Share count fallingQ4 '25 call−3.2% in 18 monthsHeld
US acceleration in '26Q1 '26 callQ2 '26: acceleratedHeld
FCF ≥ 90% of EBITDAQ4 '24 call106%, 113%; 96% in H1 '26Held
~5 more AV cities in '25Q2 '25count re-based to 7Dropped
3-year outlook, '24-'26Q4 '24'24 and '25 above; '26 openOpen
AV in 15 cities by end '26Q1 '267 live at Q2 '26Open
Largest AV facilitator by '29Q4 '25no number attachedOpen
Delivery Hero close, H2 '27Q2 '26 calloffer and bridge signedOpen
$10B AV investmentQ2 '26 callno schedule givenOpen

What they’re pitching

the headline page, deck by deck

The headline from each quarterly results deck over two years, so you can see what they want you to focus on, and when it changes.

Q3
'24
Q4
'24
Q1
'25
Q2
'25
Q3
'25
Q4
'25
Q1
'26
Q2
'26

MetricsOff page one Q4 '24

BookingsOff page one Q2 '25

AVOff page one Q1 '26

PlatformOff page one Q2 '26

Local commercePage one since Q2 '26

Profit lineOff page one Q1 '25

3-yr outlookOff page one Q1 '25

StakesFirst seen Q3 '24

on the headline page further in the deck not in the deck▲ onto page one▼ off page one● first mentionTap a mark for the quote.

Operating metrics, trips and audience first

Q3 '24 · headline page

“Operating Metrics”

Deck Uber Q3 2024 Earnings Supplemental Data · p. 5 ·

Operating metrics, trips and audience first

Q4 '24 · further in the deck

“Operating Metrics”

Deck Uber Q4 2024 Earnings Supplemental Data · p. 13 ·

Operating metrics, trips and audience first

Q1 '25 · further in the deck

“Operating Metrics”

Deck Uber Q1 2025 Earnings Supplemental Data · p. 10 ·

Operating metrics, trips and audience first

Q2 '25 · further in the deck

“Operating Metrics”

Deck Uber Q2 2025 Earnings Supplemental Data · p. 9 ·

Operating metrics, trips and audience first

Q3 '25 · further in the deck

“Operating Metrics”

Deck Uber Q3 2025 Earnings Supplemental Data · p. 11 ·

Operating metrics, trips and audience first

Q4 '25 · further in the deck

“Operating Metrics”

Deck Uber Q4 2025 Earnings Supplemental Data · p. 12 ·

Operating metrics, trips and audience first

Q1 '26 · further in the deck

“Operating Metrics”

Deck Uber Q1 2026 Earnings Supplemental Data · p. 11 ·

Operating metrics, trips and audience first

Q2 '26 · further in the deck

“Operating Metrics”

Deck Uber Q2 2026 Earnings Supplemental Data · p. 10 ·

Gross Bookings growth in constant currency

Q3 '24 · further in the deck

“+20%Gross Bookings Constant”

Deck Uber Q3 2024 Earnings Supplemental Data · p. 6 ·

Gross Bookings growth in constant currency

Q4 '24 · headline page

“Demonstrating strong progress against our 3-year outlook 12Q4 2024 Earnings 2024 3-year outlook (‘24-’26), issued Feb 2024”

Deck Uber Q4 2024 Earnings Supplemental Data · p. 12 ·

Gross Bookings growth in constant currency

Q1 '25 · headline page

“$82B Gross Bookings ARR1”

Deck Uber Q1 2025 Earnings Supplemental Data · p. 5 ·

Gross Bookings growth in constant currency

Q2 '25 · further in the deck

“+18%Gross Bookings Constant”

Deck Uber Q2 2025 Earnings Supplemental Data · p. 10 ·

Gross Bookings growth in constant currency

Q3 '25 · further in the deck

“Gross Bookings Constant”

Deck Uber Q3 2025 Earnings Supplemental Data · p. 12 ·

Gross Bookings growth in constant currency

Q4 '25 · further in the deck

“+22%Gross Bookings Constant”

Deck Uber Q4 2025 Earnings Supplemental Data · p. 13 ·

Gross Bookings growth in constant currency

Q1 '26 · further in the deck

“Gross Bookings Constant”

Deck Uber Q1 2026 Earnings Supplemental Data · p. 12 ·

Gross Bookings growth in constant currency

Q2 '26 · further in the deck

“+22%Gross Bookings Constant”

Deck Uber Q2 2026 Earnings Supplemental Data · p. 11 ·

Autonomous vehicles, partners and cities

Q4 '24 · headline page

“$1T+ opportunity that autonomy can unlock in the US alone 5Q4 2024 Earnings”

Deck Uber Q4 2024 Earnings Supplemental Data · p. 5 ·

Autonomous vehicles, partners and cities

Q2 '25 · further in the deck

“Uber is leading the commercialization of A V technology”

Deck Uber Q2 2025 Earnings Supplemental Data · p. 7 ·

Autonomous vehicles, partners and cities

Q3 '25 · further in the deck

“Partnership with NVIDIA is a pivotal step to scaling global autonomy 66Q3 2025 Earnings”

Deck Uber Q3 2025 Earnings Supplemental Data · p. 6 ·

Autonomous vehicles, partners and cities

Q4 '25 · headline page

“Autonomous vehicles likely to drive incremental category growth 5”

Deck Uber Q4 2025 Earnings Supplemental Data · p. 5 ·

Autonomous vehicles, partners and cities

Q1 '26 · further in the deck

“We are executing against our A V strategy”

Deck Uber Q1 2026 Earnings Supplemental Data · p. 9 ·

Autonomous vehicles, partners and cities

Q2 '26 · further in the deck

“Uber is building the infrastructure to commercialize autonomous mobility at global scale”

Deck Uber Q2 2026 Earnings Supplemental Data · p. 8 ·

Cross-platform engagement and Uber One

Q2 '25 · headline page

“Uber's unique advantage is the power of our platform”

Deck Uber Q2 2025 Earnings Supplemental Data · p. 5 ·

Cross-platform engagement and Uber One

Q1 '26 · headline page

“Cross-platform consumers are our fastest growing and most retained audience”

Deck Uber Q1 2026 Earnings Supplemental Data · p. 5 ·

Cross-platform engagement and Uber One

Q2 '26 · further in the deck

“Uber One continues to deepen platform engagement”

Deck Uber Q2 2026 Earnings Supplemental Data · p. 7 ·

Local commerce beyond food

Q1 '25 · headline page

“Uber is best positioned to capitalize on the global on-demand local commerce opportunity”

Deck Uber Q1 2025 Earnings Supplemental Data · p. 5 ·

Local commerce beyond food

Q3 '25 · further in the deck

“Grocery & Retail (G&R) significantly expands our Delivery opportunity”

Deck Uber Q3 2025 Earnings Supplemental Data · p. 7 ·

Local commerce beyond food

Q2 '26 · headline page

“Delivery Hero expands Uber’s local commerce platform while accelerating cross-platform engagement”

Deck Uber Q2 2026 Earnings Supplemental Data · p. 5 ·

Profit measure, from Adjusted EBITDA to Non-GAAP operating income

Q3 '24 · further in the deck

“+55%Adjusted EBITDA Growth Y oY”

Deck Uber Q3 2024 Earnings Supplemental Data · p. 8 ·

Profit measure, from Adjusted EBITDA to Non-GAAP operating income

Q4 '24 · headline page

“Adjusted EBITDA² Growth 60% Yo Y High 30s% to 40% CAGR”

Deck Uber Q4 2024 Earnings Supplemental Data · p. 12 ·

Profit measure, from Adjusted EBITDA to Non-GAAP operating income

Q4 '25 · further in the deck

“+46%Non-GAAP Operating Income Growth Y oY”

Deck Uber Q4 2025 Earnings Supplemental Data · p. 16 ·

Profit measure, from Adjusted EBITDA to Non-GAAP operating income

Q1 '26 · further in the deck

“+42% Non-GAAP Operating Income Growth Y oY 14”

Deck Uber Q1 2026 Earnings Supplemental Data · p. 14 ·

Profit measure, from Adjusted EBITDA to Non-GAAP operating income

Q2 '26 · further in the deck

“+40%Non-GAAP Operating Income Growth Y oY 13”

Deck Uber Q2 2026 Earnings Supplemental Data · p. 13 ·

Three-year outlook scorecard

Q4 '24 · headline page

“Demonstrating strong progress against our 3-year outlook 12Q4 2024 Earnings 2024 3-year outlook (‘24-’26), issued Feb 2024”

Deck Uber Q4 2024 Earnings Supplemental Data · p. 12 ·

Liquidity and equity stakes

Q3 '24 · further in the deck

“Summary of liquidity position and equity stakes”

Deck Uber Q3 2024 Earnings Supplemental Data · p. 17 ·

Liquidity and equity stakes

Q4 '24 · further in the deck

“Summary of liquidity position and equity stakes”

Deck Uber Q4 2024 Earnings Supplemental Data · p. 25 ·

What they keep talking about · 10

The themes that show up deck after deck, and the ones that disappear.

Metrics
MAPCs, trips and frequency open the table pages of every deck; from Q4 '24 the narrative slides come first and the tables move back.
Bookings
Every deck, always in constant currency: +20%, 21%, 18%, 18%, 21%, 22%, 21%, 22%. The $82B run-rate slide (Q1 '25) is the only time it was annualised.
AV
One slide in Q4 '24 ($1T+ opportunity), a city-and-partner count from Q2 '25, a full spotlight in Q4 '25 ("largest facilitator of AV trips by 2029"), a city map in Q2 '26. Never a revenue or margin figure.
Platform
Uber One members (36M, Q2 '25), cross-platform consumers (Q1 '26), member days and merchant offers (Q2 '26); the member count moved from the deck to the release.
Local commerce
Grocery & Retail run-rate ~$10B (Q1 '25), ~$12B (Q3 '25); in Q2 '26 the slot goes to Delivery Hero: 99 markets, 50M+ new eligible cross-platform users.
Profit line
Adjusted EBITDA on its own page in every deck; Non-GAAP operating income gets a page from Q4 '25, the quarter the guide switched to EPS and the pay plan to the same lines.
3-yr outlook
Shown once, Q4 '24: 2024 beat all three lines. Not in any later deck; "on track" on the calls and in the Q4 '25 release.
Stakes
Liquidity and the Aurora, Grab and Didi stakes had a page in Q3 and Q4 '24, then none; the stakes ($8.8B plus $3.5B of Delivery Hero) are in the 10-Q only.
New
Q2 '26: the Delivery Hero slide, World Cup savings, and "8 cities launching by end of 2026" by name.
Quiet
The 12-city AV count of Q2 '25 and its "~5 more in 2025" were never reconciled to the 7 live cities of Q4 '25 and Q2 '26; the liquidity page left after Q4 '24.
Every quarterly report we’ve saved · 8

The press releases and shareholder letters behind this page.

Archived as text; the links open the copies filed on EDGAR or the investor-relations site.

What analysts asked them

8 calls · Q3 24 – Q2 26

The last eight earnings calls: what analysts kept asking about, which questions got dodged, and how much the CEO did the talking.

Share of questions by topic, call by call. A topic that suddenly dominates is usually the problem. The last row is how much of the answering the CEO did, rather than the CFO or others.

Share of questions about…Q3 24Q4 24Q1 25Q2 25Q3 25Q4 25Q1 26Q2 26
Demand & customers50%17%33%25%20%38%67%17%
Growth & sales25%33%11%38%60%38%50%33%
Pricing & margins25%50%67%25%60%12%33%17%
Guidance & outlook·33%22%·20%12%33%·
Capacity & supply·17%33%·20%·33%·
Capital & financing·17%11%12%40%25%50%33%
Competition··33%·20%12%17%17%
Products & technology·33%56%25%60%50%33%33%
Macro & regulation25%33%11%··12%17%17%
Other50%17%11%38%·25%17%17%
Questions46985866

Who’s in charge, who’s selling

read from the filings · 17 Oct 2026

Shareholder votes against the board and pay, plus which executives have been selling their own shares.

  1. Tier 2 · live

    Shareholders sued the board over safety and compliance oversight

    A derivative suit filed 22 Jun '26 in San Francisco federal court by the Detroit police and fire pension fund names the CEO, ten directors and three officers and calls the company a "serial compliance offender"; it cites the sexual-assault docket and two 2025 federal suits (disability access; Uber One billing). Uber calls it misleading. Read in the press; the docket was not opened.

  2. Tier 2 · live

    EUR 14.2B of new borrowing for a cash deal, with the buyback paused

    The Delivery Hero offer (EUR 41.50 a share, $14.8B for all of it) is funded from cash and a EUR 14.2B bridge, since partly termed out; EUR 4.5B of euro notes followed in September. Q2 '26 buybacks fell to $518M as $3.9B went into Delivery Hero stock and swaps. The bridge carries a 3.0x EBITDA-to-interest covenant.

  3. Tier 2 · stable

    An audit-committee director from the 3.6% holder chairs Lucid, where Uber is now a 10% owner

    Turqi Alnowaiser sits for the Public Investment Fund (72.8M shares) and chairs Lucid, PIF's company; Uber filed a Form 3 as a 10% owner of Lucid in April 2026 and has committed to Lucid robotaxis. The board calls him independent. The CEO on the Q2 '26 call: PIF has "a terrific board representative on our board".

  4. Tier 2 · stable

    CEO pay $35.6M, 360 times the median; the pay metrics moved with the headline

    Khosrowshahi's pay $39.4M (2024) and $35.6M (2025). Say-on-pay dissent 14.9% in 2025, 6.2% in 2026. For 2026 the bonus runs on Non-GAAP EPS and Gross Bookings and the PRSUs on Non-GAAP operating income growth, replacing Adjusted EBITDA the same quarter the deck switched its headline line.

  5. Tier 3 · stable

    Long-tenured chair and audit chair; one director with 20% against

    Ronald Sugar (chair since 2018, also on Apple's board) and John Thain (audit chair) joined in 2017-18. Nikesh Arora, a sitting CEO on two other boards, drew 307.1M votes against (20.3%) in his first election in 2026. Sugar's own vote against fell from 10.9% to 8.1%.

Accounting rule changes 1 in 1 quarters

  1. Q4 '25Headline profit measure becomes Non-GAAP Operating Income (and Non-GAAP EPS in the guide) beside Adjusted EBITDA

Where shareholders voted no

At each annual meeting shareholders vote on who sits on the board, what the executives are paid and whether the company may create more shares. These are the votes that drew the most "no"s at the last two meetings: the shares voted against (or withheld) each year, then what share of all votes cast that was. Under each one, what the vote was about and what a no means.

20252026Share 2026
AroraA board seat. Shareholders vote to keep this person on the board, the group that hires, pays and can fire the CEO. A no, or a withheld vote, says they want this director out, often because of the committee they sit on or a decision they signed off.—307.1M20.3%
Sugar (chair)A board seat.167.7M121.1M8.1%
Say on payExecutive pay. Shareholders say whether they accept what the top executives were paid. The vote is advisory: the board can ignore it, but a large no is a public rebuke and boards usually change the pay plan after one.228.8M94.3M6.2%
Khosrowshahi (CEO)A board seat.36.9M39.5M2.6%
Eckert (Compensation chair)A board seat.52.3M33.0M2.2%

Insiders who sold the most stock

Reported sales by executives and directors, biggest first.

Form 4s, Oct '25-Oct '26 (Equibles feed)SoldNote
N. Krishnamurthy, people chief$2.2M30,000 shares on 16 Mar '26, two months before she stepped down; no plan
Hazelbaker, president$2.0M28,170 shares on 11 Sep '26, the day after the CEO's purchase; no plan
West, chief legal officer$1.1M3,125 shares a month, Oct '25-Jan '26, under a plan
Against that$16.9M boughtKhosrowshahi 141,000 shares at $70.96 (10 Sep '26); Macdonald 70,000 (4 Sep); B. Krishnamurthy 22,453 (24 Feb)